Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 7.625694 8.413063 9.254596 10.222245 11.305805 12.483576 13.863110
2025-11-23 6.442849 7.537813 8.787928 10.326339 12.176121 14.337987 17.069523
2025-11-30 5.689602 7.000710 8.585521 10.655611 13.307734 16.617649 21.102032
2025-12-07 4.965119 6.377504 8.170407 10.636868 13.978421 18.400558 24.783338
2025-12-14 4.328292 5.768694 7.676212 10.421988 14.330452 19.781585 28.115179
2025-12-21 3.880064 5.345196 7.360800 10.384199 14.887783 21.482801 32.125721
2025-12-28 3.607259 5.125009 7.288856 10.663587 15.913261 23.971183 37.680836
2026-01-04 3.360885 4.910113 7.191663 10.879404 16.850837 26.428627 43.559650
2026-01-11 3.108802 4.656630 7.003501 10.921526 17.502505 28.494289 49.091802
2026-01-18 2.859090 4.379612 6.746380 10.815295 17.882405 30.135248 54.114061
2026-01-25 2.632159 4.115518 6.480761 10.658876 18.145373 31.588147 58.999645
2026-02-01 2.439527 3.888332 6.251415 10.534223 18.439452 33.119243 64.268637
2026-02-08 2.263824 3.677460 6.035555 10.420113 18.757822 34.775822 70.173665
2026-02-15 2.116459 3.501889 5.863911 10.366980 19.184550 36.704250 77.025160
2026-02-22 2.028798 3.421438 5.850222 10.603254 20.201642 39.965660 87.472940
2026-03-01 1.903817 3.264315 5.684444 10.530416 20.586363 41.959960 95.380201
2026-03-08 1.767711 3.076091 5.445058 10.287412 20.586051 43.116605 101.481317
2026-03-15 1.669191 2.948712 5.307653 10.232592 20.975935 45.194209 110.326364
2026-03-22 1.618059 2.905379 5.325720 10.496884 22.095892 49.123469 124.913267
2026-03-29 1.563508 2.850975 5.316962 10.702679 23.109201 52.955936 140.124055
2026-04-05 1.494555 2.763301 5.234536 10.740419 23.736013 55.930068 153.564267
2026-04-12 1.416075 2.651114 5.093407 10.634107 24.005015 58.031385 164.880709
2026-04-19 1.338939 2.536203 4.937694 10.479465 24.136571 59.792215 175.563279